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Analyzing Amateur Baseball Talent as it pertains to the MLB Draft

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Free Agent Draft Compensation

35 free agents were accepted arbitration as of the 11 PM CST deadline on 11/23/10, which represents the maximum number of players that can effect the draft order for the 2011 draft. Three of those players (as listed below) have already signed with new teams.

I'm going to break down the free agents and how they effect the draft order into three categories: The list of free agents and their respective Elias Bureau rankings (which may change over the next week as players have the opportunity to accept or decline arbitration), the list of free agents that have already signed with other teams, and the projected sandwich round order.

Please stay tuned to this feature as I will update it over the offseason as free agents accept/decline arbitration and sign with other teams.

Updated 2/2/2011

Free Agent Elias Rankings

Type A Free Agents:

Jayson Werth -- 91.807 - Phillies (signed with the Nationals)
Rafael Soriano -- 91.799 - Rays (signed with the Yankees)
Cliff Lee -- 87.500 - Rangers (signed with the Phillies)
Victor Martinez -- 87.054 - Red Sox (signed with the Tigers)
Carl Crawford -- 85.128 - Rays (signed with the Red Sox)
Adrian Beltre -- 81.633 - Red Sox (signed with the Rangers)
Scott Downs -- 76.352 - Blue Jays (signed with the Angels)
Adam Dunn -- 74.167 - Nationals (signed with the White Sox)
Grant Balfour -- 72.923 - Rays (signed with the Athletics)

Type B Free Agents:

Javier Vazquez -- 71.970 - Yankees (signed with the Marlins)
Jon Garland -- 71.947 - Padres (signed with the Dodgers)
Brad Hawpe -- 70.769 - Rays (signed with the Padres)
Orlando Hudson -- 70.238 - Twins (signed with the Padres)
John Buck -- 67.411 - Blue Jays (signed with the Marlins)
Kevin Gregg -- 66.967 - Blue Jays (signed with the Orioles)
Joaquin Benoit -- 66.879 - Rays (signed with the Tigers)
Pedro Feliciano -- 66.855 - Mets (signed with the Yankees)
Octavio Dotel -- 66.473 - Rockies (signed with the Blue Jays)
Juan Uribe -- 65.608 - Giants (signed with the Dodgers)
Miguel Olivo -- 65.251 - Blue Jays (signed with the Mariners)
Yorvit Torrealba -- 63.900 - Padres (signed with the Rangers)
Randy Choate -- 62.460 - Rays (signed with the Marlins)
J.J. Putz -- 62.213 - White Sox (signed with the Diamondbacks)
Adam LaRoche -- 61.667 - D-Backs (signed with the Nationals)
Jesse Crain -- 60.657 - Twins (signed with the White Sox)
Kevin Correia -- 57.591 - Padres (signed with the Pirates)
Chad Qualls -- 56.168 - Rays (signed with the Padres)

Free Agent Compensation

• Red Sox receive the Tigers’ first-round pick (#19 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Victor Martinez
• Nationals receive the White Sox' first-round pick (#23 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Adam Dunn
• Phillies receive the Nationals' second-round pick (worst-case #70 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Jayson Werth
• Rays receive the Red Sox' first-round pick (#24 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Carl Crawford
• Blue Jays receive the Angels' second-round pick (worst-case #78 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Scott Downs
• Rangers receive the Phillies' first-round pick (#33 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Cliff Lee
• Red Sox receive the Rangers' first-round pick (#26 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Adrian Beltre
• Rays receive the Yankees first-round pick (#31 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Rafael Soriano
• Rays receive the Athletics second-round pick (worst-case #78 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Grant Balfour
• Blue Jays receive a supplemental first-round pick for John Buck
• Rays receive a supplemental first-round pick for Joaquin Benoit
• Padres receive a supplemental first-round pick for Jon Garland
• Giants receive a supplemental first-round pick for Juan Uribe
• Yankees receive a supplemental first-round pick for Javier Vazquez
• Padres receive a supplemental first-round pick for Yorvit Torrealba
• White Sox receive a supplemental first-round pick for J.J. Putz
• Padres receive a supplemental first-round pick for Kevin Correia
• Twins receive a supplemental first-round pick for Orlando Hudson
• Mets receive a supplemental first-round pick for Pedro Feliciano
• Blue Jays receive a supplemental first-round pick for Miguel Olivo
• Twins receive a supplemental first-round pick for Jesse Crain
• Rays receive a supplemental first-round pick for Brad Hawpe
• Rockies receive a supplemental first-round pick for Octavio Dotel
• Diamondbacks receive a supplemental first-round pick for Adam LaRoche
• Rays receive a supplemental first-round pick for Randy Choate
• Blue Jays receive a supplemental first-round pick for Kevin Gregg
• Rays receive a supplemental first-round pick for Chad Qualls

Sandwich Round Order

Type A Free Agents:

34. Nationals (Dunn)
35. Blue Jays (Downs)
36. Red Sox (Martinez)
37. Rangers (Lee)
38. Rays (Soriano)
39. Phillies (Werth)
40. Red Sox (Beltre)
41. Rays (Crawford)
42. Rays (Balfour)

Type B Free Agents:

43. D-Backs (LaRoche)
44. Mets (Feliciano)
45. Rockies (Dotel)
46. Blue Jays (Gregg)
47. White Sox (Putz)
48. Padres (Garland)
49. Giants (Uribe)
50. Twins (Hudson)
51. Yankees (Vazquez)
52. Rays (Hawpe)
53. Blue Jays (Buck)
54. Padres (Torrealba)
55. Twins (Crain)
56. Rays (Benoit)
57. Blue Jays (Olivo)
58. Padres (Correia)
59. Rays (Choate)
60. Rays (Qualls)

Be sure to visit the Raw Draft Order to see how the draft stacks up without free agent compensation. I will update this list once all of the free agents have signed and the final draft order has been determined.

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Dandy Dozen

SP
Andrew Gagnon Well rounded RHP w/ good size, repertoire
SP
Erik Johnson Big bodied RHP with good FB/CB combo
SP
Deshorn Lake Live-armed RHP with sharp breaking ball
CL
Nick Maronde Lived-armed LHP tough to catch up to
C
Nick Delmonico May not be C long-term, big body, LH bat
1B
Zach Wilson Aggressive hitter can put sting in ball
IF
Sean Trent Well built hitter with pop, speed, arm
3B
Dante Bichette, Jr. Clone of father with big build, power
SS
Austin Nola Steady D' at shortstop, improving strength
OF
Nick Martini Good all around player with patient eye
OF
Shon Carson Shorter, well built 2-sport speedster
OF
Granden Goetzman Fast riser w/ exciting power/speed combo

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